WeatherVane helps retail brands forecast weekly demand, understand why it moved, and know when to push or pause spend.
It is a weekly operating workflow for the person deciding what to stock, when to spend, and whether a demand move came from weather, promotion, competition, or baseline demand.
The product does three things: forecast next week, explain the driver, and tell the operator whether to push, pause, or wait.
They can usually see the result, but not the reason. So they mistake weather for marketing, promotion for baseline demand, and short-term noise for a lasting trend.
A model trained on pooled data outperforms a single-brand baseline by +16% on held-out demand prediction. Tested on M5, the world’s largest retail forecasting benchmark: roughly 100,000 Walmart SKU-level time series.
For a $10M brand, a cleaner weekly read on demand means materially less overbuying and less wasted paid spend.
SKU-level demand with uncertainty, refreshed weekly
What’s driving demand: weather, promos, baseline, competition
When to act and when to wait
This is valuable because the model has learned across brands, not because it produced another generic dashboard.
Why now: the modeling works, the data is reachable, and the pain is weekly. Moat: a pooled corpus that compounds over time.
The first buyer is a marketing, demand, or inventory lead who already feels the cost of making a weekly call with bad signal. Legacy planning suites and generic forecast APIs solve different problems.
Business model: free design partners first, then software subscription for the weekly workflow, with later data/API upside only after the core product is proven.
Co-founded Homesick Candles (8-figure exit to WIN Brands). Owns NorSari and leads its marketing (44% CAGR over 8 years). Built WeatherVane’s causal ML architecture and benchmark proof. Solo founder today; first hires are ML/data and commercial.